Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has admitted Democrats are in big trouble as the midterms draw closer.
Schumer told his fellow senators he thought Democrats had a 60% chance to hold the Senate and a 40% chance to hold the House.
During a private dinner, Schumer said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is “in trouble,” and Democrats are likely to lose the House.
Six Democratic senators, and Schumer, were spotted dining at a swanky Italian restaurant in Washington on Monday evening.
According to Punchbowl News, the group was talking loud enough to be heard by other patrons.
Schumer said he was confident Democrats would keep the Senate come November but said Republicans had a 60% chance of taking the House.
Earlier this week, the New York Times re-adjusted any last pieces of hope the House Democrats had for the midterm elections.
As The Daily Fetched reported:
In the NYT newsletter, “The Morning,” the outlet said that recent polling suggesting Democrats are making gains with voters was wrong – based on an analysis of final polling in 2020 that overstated Joe Biden’s strength in states like North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Ohio, where key Senate races will be decided.
Times’ senior writer David Leonhardt noted:
“The polls reported that Biden had a small lead in North Carolina, but he lost the state to Donald Trump. The polls also showed Biden running comfortably ahead in Wisconsin, yet he won it by less than a percentage point. In Ohio, the polls pointed to a tight race; instead, Trump won it easily.
“In each of these states — and some others — pollsters failed to reach a representative sample of voters. One factor seems to be that Republican voters are more skeptical of mainstream institutions and are less willing to respond to a survey. If that’s true, polls will often understate Republican support, until pollsters figure out how to fix the problem.”
“This possibility offers reason to wonder whether Democrats are really doing as well in the midterm elections as the conventional wisdom holds. Recent polls suggest that Democrats are favored to keep control of the Senate narrowly, while losing control of the House, also narrowly.”
“One factor seems to be that Republican voters are more skeptical of mainstream institutions and are less willing to respond to a survey,” he added Monday.
