CBS News investigative reporter Catherine Herridge predicted that 2024 will produce a ‘Black Swan Event’ that will send shock waves throughout the world.
During a round table discussion, host Margaret Brennan asked Herridge about what we could expect to see in 2024.
“Well, mine’s a little dark,” Herridge began.
“I just feel a lot of concern that 2024 may be the year of a black swan event.”
“This is a national security event with high impact that’s very hard to predict.”
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The term’ black swan’ event describes an unexpected event that causes chaos.
Examples of the extreme nature of such an event include the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007-2008.
Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb notes the three defining attributes of a black swan event:
1: An event that is unpredictable.
2: A black swan event results in severe and widespread consequences.
3: After a black swan event occurs, people will rationalize the event as being predictable (known as hindsight bias).
While a black swan event can also be positive in some cases, Herridge said the one in 2024 would be devastating for America.
“There are a number of concerns- concerns, I have that factor into that,” explained Herridge.
“Not only this sort of enduring, heightened threat level that we’re facing, the wars in Israel, also Ukraine.”
“And we’re so divided in this country in ways that we haven’t seen before,” she aid.
“And I think that just creates fertile ground for our adversaries like North Korea, China and Iran.”
“And that’s what concerns me most,” she added.
Host Brenna responded to Herridge’s prediction, saying, “A lot of people are up at night with that concern, Catherine. At least in this town.”
WATCH: Tucker: “2024 Is Going to Be like Nothing We’ve Ever Seen”
