Prediction Market Forecasts Trump Victory over Joe Biden in 2024

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Prediction Market Forecasts Trump Victory over Joe Biden in 2024

President Donald Trump has a 93 percent chance of becoming the Republican nominee and is forecasted to defeat President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, according to Polymarket.

The predictions show Trump with a 93 percent chance of winning the Republican nomination, while Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley has just a four percent chance of becoming the nominee.

Another two percent goes to “other,” while Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis have a one percent chance each.

The prediction market also gives Biden a low chance of being his party’s nominee — 78 percent.

The forecast allocates further percentages to the following:

Gov. Gavin Newsom 9%

Michelle Obama 7%

Vice President Kamala Harris 4%

and two percent to “other”

As Breitbart reported:

Polymarket notes a 78 percent chance of a Trump vs. Biden rematch, although there is a 27 percent chance Biden will drop out of the presidential race.

In a 2024 general election scenario, Trump has a 54 percent chance of winning, compared to 33 percent predicting Biden. Another six percent goes to Michelle Obama, three percent to Newsom, and two percent to independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Trump now sets his sights on South Carolina for the GOP primary race, as polls show him slaying g Haley by double digits.

Meanwhile, recent surveys show Trump leading Biden both nationally and in key swing states, including:

Arizona

Georgia

Michigan

Nevada

North Carolina

Pennsylvania

Wisconsin

Earlier this week, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) sounded the alarm over Trump’s rising poll numbers.

The Daily Fetched reported:

The far-left congresswoman argued that Trump returning to the White House would ensure the end of Democracy, adding, “It’s not a joke.”

“We need to understand what we are staring down in this country,” AOC began.

“If Donald Trump is elected president of the United States, we do not know if there will be a verifiable next election that has integrity,” she said.

“He already tried to, we saw on January 6th, he tried to overturn the results of a presidential election by force, by inciting a riot.”

“And I, you know, I think we need to be very, very realistic about the grave, grave impacts of a Donald Trump election. It is not a joke.”

READ: Truckers for Trump to Boycott Driving to NYC after $355M Fine

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