CNN’s first projection of the 2024 Electoral College map shows that former president Donald Trump is well-positioned to win this year’s presidential election.
The map is based on polling and other factors.
CNN said:
“And it is that path to 270 that we attempt to explore here. We base this current outlook on public and private polling, conversations with campaign advisers, Republican and Democratic political operatives, members of Congress, and political professionals involved with outside groups poised to be active in the race.”
As RedState noted, CNN began by downplaying the map before they even started talking about it.
“This is an exercise designed to capture where the race stands today. If we have learned anything in recent American political history, it is to expect the unexpected. We don’t even know for certain if Biden and Trump will be the two major party nominees in the fall. However, since that appears to be the likeliest choice at this point, we have explored this initial outlook through the lens of a Biden vs. Trump race. Future versions of this outlook will similarly reflect the realities of the race, as best we can assess them at the time.”
The map below shows you why CNN are trying to downplay it:
But once you get to the map, you see why they seemed to be trying to downplay it.
Map of 2024 based on CNN projections
— Jesse Hughes ✝️🇺🇸 (@jhughes1776) January 6, 2024
Obviously take this with a grain of salt, but if this is indicative of reality and holds until November, this year will be interesting pic.twitter.com/IEsIGTaVrX
CNN continued:
“In this initial electoral map outlook, Trump has 28 states (and one congressional district in Maine) either solidly in his corner or leaning in his direction that totals up to 272 electoral votes – two more than what is required to win the presidency.”
“For his part, Biden has 19 states plus the District of Columbia either solidly in his favor or leaning in his direction, which brings his total electoral vote count to 225 – 45 votes short of the 270 required to win.”
CNN appears to think that three states and one district with 41 electoral votes were toss-ups:
Arizona (11)
Nebraska 2nd Congressional District (1)
Pennsylvania (19)
Wisconsin (10)
However, RedState noted that would still leave Biden short even if he got all the toss-ups.
Biden would still require one of those “leaning Republicans” to flip to him.
It’s no wonder Democrats are panicking.
READ: Trump Predicts the Economy Will Crash This Year: ‘It’s Running Off Fumes’
