A new polling election map predicts the Republican Party will win 301 Electoral College votes in the 2024 presidential election.
The predicted figures, if correct, will far surpass the 270 needed for the Party’s most likely candidate, Donald Trump, to win the election.
But according to polling by the website Race to the White House, the Democratic Party’s most likely candidate, Joe Biden, is projected to win 235 Electoral College votes.
NEW: @RacetotheWH Swing States polling avg. (Biden vs Trump, July 20 ➡️ Dec. 10)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) December 11, 2023
GA: D+0.2 ➡️ R+5.7
AZ: D+1.2 ➡️ R+4.9
NV: D+2.7 ➡️ R+2.9
PA: D+1.5 ➡️ R+2.3
MI: D+1.6 ➡️ R+1.3
WI: D+7.3 ➡️ D+1.9
——
EC based on polls
🔴 Trump — 301
🔵 Biden — 235https://t.co/b0GexgbmFK pic.twitter.com/Vjc6EMCl4u
The website found that Trump leads by 5 percent or more in 250 states.
Meanwhile, Biden is ahead by 5 percent or more in 202 states.
The Republican leads by less than 5 percent in 51 states, while the Democrat leads by the same figure in 33 states.
According to pollsters, Trump will get 45 percent of the total vote in the election, while Biden will get just 43.6 percent.
As the 2024 election draws closer, many predict Biden will drop out.
However, some analysts have predicted that Biden could stay, as there is still a long way to go until November.
According to Newsweek, which cited a national poll conducted by Emerson College, Trump leads Biden by 4 points (47 percent to 43 percent).
The poll was conducted between December 4 and 6 and used a sample size of 1,000 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.
The outlet continued:
“Meanwhile, a November poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College showed voters are backing Trump by margins of 4 to 10 points in five out of six important election battleground states. If the poll’s results are unchanged by next November’s election, Trump would win more than 300 Electoral College votes.”
Another poll by YouGov/The Economist suggests the contest would be a draw.
In a statistical tie, Biden was supported by 42 percent, and Trump was backed by 41 percent.
The survey used 1,291 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Meanwhile, a third of respondents in the 18 to 34 age range remain undecided about whom they will vote for.
Despite growing concerns about Biden’s mental health, he appears confident about success in 2024.
“I’m not the only one who can defeat him, but I will defeat him,” he told reporters last week when asked about Trump.
Earlier this week, Trump said he was confident he would take New Jersey, a Democratic stronghold.
“Because the Biden Administration has been so bad to the Garden State…we have a very good chance of winning New Jersey,” he said on Truth Social.
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